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Visionary Questions


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The following questionnaire was used to determine if people are sceptical. In particular, the purpose was to determine if people perceive the pace of technological development to be much slower than it is in reality.

This study has now closed.

If++ members can see the results here.

 


How many years do you think it will take to achieve each of the following?

Please answer all questions, even if you have no idea (just guess if you need to).

A type of microscope that detects the position of individual atoms

Move the position of an individual atom

Observe the arrangement of atoms in a molecule

A chip with over 10,000 microscopic adjustable mirrors on it

Electronic circuits with features smaller than 1000th of a millimetre

A chip that contains 50 million transistors

A chip that contains 200 million transistors

A chip that contains 1 billion transistors

Determine where an object is anywhere on the planet to within 10 centimetres

Send a probe to a planet 1 billion miles away

Detect light from stars over 10 thousand billion miles away

Transmit 20 billion bits per second down a fibre optic

A laser pulse with a power of 1 billion watts

Detect light from stars over 10 thousand billion billion miles away

Jet engine the size of a coat button for generating electricity

Premium if++ members can get more details on any of these visionary technologies, for free.


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